Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 67.9%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Vitoria had a probability of 12.1%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.42%), while for a Vitoria win it was 0-1 (4.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood.

Result
Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Vitoria
67.9% ( -0.09)	20% ( 0.01)	12.1% ( 0.08)

Both teams to score 43.58% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.66% (

0.15)

49.34% (

-0.15)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.61% (

0.13)

71.39% (

-0.13)

Atletico Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.45% (

0.02)

13.54% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

59.38% (

0.04)

40.61% (

-0.04)

Vitoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.41% (

0.23)

49.58% (

-0.23)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.63% (

0.16)

84.37% (

-0.16)

Score Analysis

Atletico Mineiro 67.9%

Vitoria 12.1%

Draw 20%

Atletico Mineiro	Draw	Vitoria
1-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.07) 2-0 @ 13.42% ( -0.06) 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 8.95% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 4.47% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.14% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.2% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.79% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.25% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.47% Total : 67.9%	1-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.56% Total : 20%	0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0) 1-2 @ 3.3% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 1.65% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.43% Total : 12.1%