Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 17.66%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (6.14%).
Result | ||
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
59.31% ( 3.54) | 23.02% ( -1.04) | 17.66% ( -2.5) |
Both teams to score 47.66% ( -1.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.92% ( 0.73) | 51.08% ( -0.73) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.06% ( 0.63) | 72.93% ( -0.63) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.11% ( 1.55) | 16.89% ( -1.55) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.06% ( 2.68) | 46.93% ( -2.68) |
Vasco da Gama Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
57.35% ( -2.43) | 42.65% ( 2.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21% ( -2.14) | 78.99% ( 2.14) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Mineiro | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
1-0 @ 12.81% ( 0.28) 2-0 @ 11.39% ( 0.8) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 6.75% ( 0.78) 3-1 @ 5.75% ( 0.31) 4-0 @ 3% ( 0.48) 4-1 @ 2.56% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.13) Other @ 1.81% Total : 59.31% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.51) 0-0 @ 7.2% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.77% Total : 23.02% | 0-1 @ 6.14% ( -0.62) 1-2 @ 4.65% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.46) 1-3 @ 1.32% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 1.18% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.76% Total : 17.66% |
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