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Copa do Brasil | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Oct 3, 2024 at 1.30am UK
Arena MRV
VD

Atletico Mineiro
vs.
Vasco

 
Coverage of the Copa do Brasil Semi-Finals clash between Atletico Mineiro and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Next Game: Cruzeiro vs. Vasco
Sunday, September 29 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 59.31%. A draw has a probability of 23% and a win for Vasco da Gama has a probability of 17.66%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win is 1-0 with a probability of 12.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (11.39%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it is 0-1 (6.14%).

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawVasco da Gama
59.31% (3.54 3.54) 23.02% (-1.037 -1.04) 17.66% (-2.504 -2.5)
Both teams to score 47.66% (-1.092 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.92% (0.725 0.73)51.08% (-0.725 -0.73)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.06% (0.631 0.63)72.93% (-0.631 -0.63)
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.11% (1.548 1.55)16.89% (-1.548 -1.55)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.06% (2.682 2.68)46.93% (-2.683 -2.68)
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.35% (-2.43 -2.43)42.65% (2.43 2.43)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21% (-2.141 -2.14)78.99% (2.14 2.14)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 59.31%
    Vasco da Gama 17.66%
    Draw 23.02%
Atletico MineiroDrawVasco da Gama
1-0 @ 12.81% (0.28 0.28)
2-0 @ 11.39% (0.8 0.8)
2-1 @ 9.71% (0.054 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.75% (0.779 0.78)
3-1 @ 5.75% (0.313 0.31)
4-0 @ 3% (0.477 0.48)
4-1 @ 2.56% (0.258 0.26)
3-2 @ 2.45% (-0.026 -0.03)
4-2 @ 1.09% (0.043 0.04)
5-0 @ 1.07% (0.214 0.21)
5-1 @ 0.91% (0.132 0.13)
Other @ 1.81%
Total : 59.31%
1-1 @ 10.91% (-0.51 -0.51)
0-0 @ 7.2% (-0.212 -0.21)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.261 -0.26)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.02%
0-1 @ 6.14% (-0.616 -0.62)
1-2 @ 4.65% (-0.549 -0.55)
0-2 @ 2.62% (-0.46 -0.46)
1-3 @ 1.32% (-0.258 -0.26)
2-3 @ 1.18% (-0.16 -0.16)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 17.66%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-1 Atletico Mineiro
Saturday, September 28 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 2-0 Fluminense
Wednesday, September 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 3-0 Bragantino
Sunday, September 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Atletico Mineiro
Wednesday, September 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Bahia 3-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 0-0 Sao Paulo
Friday, September 13 at 1.45am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vasco 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, September 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Flamengo 1-1 Vasco
Sunday, September 15 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 2-1 Vasco (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, September 12 at 1.30am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vitoria 0-1 Vasco
Sunday, September 1 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Athletico PR
Friday, August 30 at 12am in Copa do Brasil
Last Game: Vasco 2-1 Athletico PR
Tuesday, August 27 at 1am in Brasileiro


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