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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16
Nov 24, 2020 at 10.15pm UK
Arena da Baixada

Athletico PR
1 - 1
River Plate

Bissoli (57')
Cittadini (27'), Eduardo (28'), Nascimento Satorno (35')
Nascimento Satorno (67')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Diaz (90')
Perez (78'), Montiel (83')
Coverage of the Copa Libertadores Round of 16 clash between Athletico Paranaense and River Plate.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 44.89%. A win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 31.61% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.59%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Athletico Paranaense win was 2-1 (7.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood.

Result
Athletico ParanaenseDrawRiver Plate
31.61%23.49%44.89%
Both teams to score 61.81%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.21%39.79%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.85%62.14%
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42%24.57%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93%59.06%
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.94%18.05%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.04%48.96%
Score Analysis
    Athletico Paranaense 31.61%
    River Plate 44.89%
    Draw 23.48%
Athletico ParanaenseDrawRiver Plate
2-1 @ 7.48%
1-0 @ 6.23%
2-0 @ 4.37%
3-1 @ 3.5%
3-2 @ 3%
3-0 @ 2.04%
4-1 @ 1.23%
4-2 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 31.61%
1-1 @ 10.65%
2-2 @ 6.4%
0-0 @ 4.44%
3-3 @ 1.71%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.48%
1-2 @ 9.12%
0-1 @ 7.59%
0-2 @ 6.5%
1-3 @ 5.21%
0-3 @ 3.71%
2-3 @ 3.65%
1-4 @ 2.23%
0-4 @ 1.59%
2-4 @ 1.56%
Other @ 3.73%
Total : 44.89%


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