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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 79.87%. A draw had a probability of 13% and a win for Sportivo Ameliano had a probability of 7.1%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (10.84%) and 1-0 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.14%), while for a Sportivo Ameliano win it was 0-1 (2.23%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano |
79.87% ( 0.01) | 13.02% ( 0.02) | 7.1% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 47.79% ( -0.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 67.29% ( -0.29) | 32.71% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 45.61% ( -0.33) | 54.38% ( 0.33) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 93.61% ( -0.06) | 6.38% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 76.06% ( -0.16) | 23.93% ( 0.16) |
| Sportivo Ameliano Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 51.04% ( -0.3) | 48.95% ( 0.3) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 16.08% ( -0.22) | 83.92% ( 0.22) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Sportivo Ameliano |
| 2-0 @ 11.82% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 10.84% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.59% ( 0.1)2-1 @ 8.45% 3-1 @ 7.75% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 5.33% ( -0.03)5-0 @ 4.11% ( -0)5-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.91% ( -0.03)6-0 @ 1.89% ( -0.01)6-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.02)5-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.02)Other @ 3.61% Total : 79.86% | 1-1 @ 6.14% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 3.12% ( 0.05)2-2 @ 3.02% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.75% Total : 13.02% | 0-1 @ 2.23% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.67% Total : 7.1% |
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