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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
Apr 24, 2024 at 11pm UK
Estadio Centenario
AP

Danubio
0 - 1
Athletico PR


Fernandez (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Madson (16')
Julimar (61')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Danubio and Athletico Paranaense.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 50.74%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 22.19%.

The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.52%) and 1-2 (8.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.43%), while for a Danubio win it was 1-0 (8.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 14.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.

Result
DanubioDrawAthletico Paranaense
22.19% (0.402 0.4) 27.06% (0.29 0.29) 50.74% (-0.692 -0.69)
Both teams to score 43.21% (-0.285 -0.28)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.5% (-0.613 -0.61)60.5% (0.613 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.39% (-0.466 -0.47)80.61% (0.46599999999999 0.47)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.89% (0.059999999999995 0.06)43.1% (-0.061 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.62% (0.050000000000001 0.05)79.38% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Athletico Paranaense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.95% (-0.58 -0.58)24.05% (0.582 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.67% (-0.834 -0.83)58.33% (0.834 0.83)
Score Analysis
    Danubio 22.19%
    Athletico Paranaense 50.74%
    Draw 27.05%
DanubioDrawAthletico Paranaense
1-0 @ 8.73% (0.213 0.21)
2-1 @ 5.23% (0.048 0.05)
2-0 @ 3.67% (0.095 0.09)
3-1 @ 1.47% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.05% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.03% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 1.02%
Total : 22.19%
1-1 @ 12.43% (0.1 0.1)
0-0 @ 10.36% (0.23 0.23)
2-2 @ 3.73% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 27.05%
0-1 @ 14.77% (0.09 0.09)
0-2 @ 10.52% (-0.12 -0.12)
1-2 @ 8.86% (-0.083 -0.08)
0-3 @ 5% (-0.142 -0.14)
1-3 @ 4.21% (-0.112 -0.11)
0-4 @ 1.78% (-0.082 -0.08)
2-3 @ 1.77% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.5% (-0.066 -0.07)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 50.74%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Cerro Largo
Saturday, April 20 at 2pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Penarol 2-0 Danubio
Sunday, April 14 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Danubio 0-0 Ameliano
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Danubio 1-1 Progreso
Saturday, April 6 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Rayo Zuliano 0-2 Danubio
Wednesday, April 3 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensor 1-0 Danubio
Saturday, March 30 at 10pm in Uruguayan Primera Division
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-0 Internacional
Sunday, April 21 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Gremio 2-0 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 17 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 4-0 Cuiaba
Sunday, April 14 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 6-0 Rayo Zuliano
Wednesday, April 10 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Ameliano 1-4 Athletico PR
Wednesday, April 3 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Cuiaba 3-0 Athletico PR
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro


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