Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 78.67%. A draw had a probability of 14.6% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 6.69%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 2-0 with a probability of 14.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.28%) and 3-0 (12.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.86%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (2.83%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.9% likelihood.
0) 
-0) 
