SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletico Paranaense win with a probability of 60.08%. A draw had a probability of 21.5% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 18.45%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletico Paranaense win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.05%) and 2-1 (9.95%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Athletico Paranaense in this match.
| Result | ||
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
60.08% ( -1.15) | 21.47% ( 0.54) | 18.45% ( 0.6) |
| Both teams to score 54.02% ( -0.68) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.66% ( -1.47) | 43.34% ( 1.46) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.26% ( -1.46) | 65.73% ( 1.46) |
| Athletico Paranaense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.99% ( -0.81) | 14.01% ( 0.81) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 58.45% ( -1.63) | 41.55% ( 1.62) |
| Vasco da Gama Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.82% ( -0.2) | 37.17% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.04% ( -0.19) | 73.96% ( 0.19) |
| Score Analysis |
| Athletico Paranaense | Draw | Vasco da Gama |
| 1-0 @ 10.23% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 10.05% ( 0.05)2-1 @ 9.95% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.59% ( -0.17)3-1 @ 6.52% ( -0.2)4-0 @ 3.24% ( -0.18)3-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 3.2% ( -0.2)4-2 @ 1.59% ( -0.11)5-0 @ 1.27% ( -0.11)5-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.12)Other @ 2.94% Total : 60.07% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.29) 0-0 @ 5.21% ( 0.33)2-2 @ 4.93% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.06% ( -0.04)Other @ 0.14% Total : 21.46% | 0-1 @ 5.15% ( 0.3) 1-2 @ 5.01% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.55% ( 0.14)1-3 @ 1.65% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.62% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.46% Total : 18.45% |
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