SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Augsburg win with a probability of 38.7%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 37.64% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for an Augsburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.83%) and 2-0 (5.41%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (8.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Augsburg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Augsburg | Draw | Heidenheim |
38.7% ( -0.12) | 23.66% ( -0) | 37.64% ( 0.12) |
| Both teams to score 62.79% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.84% ( 0.02) | 39.16% ( -0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.51% ( 0.02) | 61.49% ( -0.02) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.5% ( -0.05) | 20.5% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.01% ( -0.08) | 52.99% ( 0.08) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.98% ( 0.07) | 21.02% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.2% ( 0.1) | 53.8% ( -0.1) |
| Score Analysis |
| Augsburg | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 8.44% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 6.83% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.46% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0)3-0 @ 2.86% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.77% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.13% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.96% Total : 38.7% | 1-1 @ 10.65% 2-2 @ 6.58% ( 0)0-0 @ 4.31% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.81% ( 0)Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.66% | 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 6.72% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 5.24% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 4.32% ( 0.02)2-3 @ 3.42% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 2.73% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.01)2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.82% Total : 37.64% |
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