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Bundesliga | Gameweek 20
Feb 3, 2024 at 2.30pm UK
Vonovia Ruhrstadion
AL

VfL Bochum
1 - 1
Augsburg

Broschinski (33')
Broschinski (44'), Oermann (45+4'), Osterhage (76')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Demirovic (90+1' pen.)
Jakic (70')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 VfL Bochum
Sunday, January 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

We said: VfL Bochum 2-1 Augsburg

Despite their lowly league position, Bochum have maintained a very good home record this season, losing just once in nine matches at Vonovia Ruhrstadion and winning three of their last four. Augsburg will not make it easy for the hosts, but we feel that their inability to keep teams from scoring against them will cost them in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a VfL Bochum win with a probability of 48.78%. A win for Augsburg had a probability of 28.16% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a VfL Bochum win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.96%) and 2-0 (7.16%). The likeliest Augsburg win was 1-2 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.5% likelihood.

Result
VfL BochumDrawAugsburg
48.78% (-1.815 -1.82) 23.06% (0.417 0.42) 28.16% (1.395 1.4)
Both teams to score 61.14% (-0.287 -0.29)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.29% (-0.899 -0.9)39.71% (0.896 0.9)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.93% (-0.942 -0.94)62.06% (0.937 0.94)
VfL Bochum Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.47% (-0.982 -0.98)16.53% (0.979 0.98)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.72% (-1.791 -1.79)46.28% (1.788 1.79)
Augsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.25% (0.509 0.51)26.74% (-0.513 -0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.98% (0.67 0.67)62.01% (-0.674 -0.67)
Score Analysis
    VfL Bochum 48.78%
    Augsburg 28.16%
    Draw 23.05%
VfL BochumDrawAugsburg
2-1 @ 9.45% (-0.096 -0.1)
1-0 @ 7.96% (0.068 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.16% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 5.67% (-0.252 -0.25)
3-0 @ 4.3% (-0.256 -0.26)
3-2 @ 3.74% (-0.11 -0.11)
4-1 @ 2.55% (-0.204 -0.2)
4-0 @ 1.93% (-0.184 -0.18)
4-2 @ 1.68% (-0.108 -0.11)
5-1 @ 0.92% (-0.107 -0.11)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 48.78%
1-1 @ 10.49% (0.24 0.24)
2-2 @ 6.23% (0.027 0.03)
0-0 @ 4.42% (0.182 0.18)
3-3 @ 1.64% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 23.05%
1-2 @ 6.92% (0.255 0.26)
0-1 @ 5.83% (0.32 0.32)
0-2 @ 3.85% (0.264 0.26)
1-3 @ 3.04% (0.154 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.74% (0.051 0.05)
0-3 @ 1.69% (0.138 0.14)
1-4 @ 1% (0.065 0.07)
2-4 @ 0.9% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 28.16%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Dortmund 3-1 VfL Bochum
Sunday, January 28 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-0 Stuttgart
Saturday, January 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 1-1 Werder Bremen
Sunday, January 14 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: B. Leverkusen 4-0 VfL Bochum
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: VfL Bochum 3-0 Union Berlin
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Hoffenheim 3-1 VfL Bochum
Friday, December 8 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 2-3 Bayern
Saturday, January 27 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Borussia M'bach 1-2 Augsburg
Sunday, January 21 at 4.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 0-1 B. Leverkusen
Saturday, January 13 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Stuttgart 3-0 Augsburg
Wednesday, December 20 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Augsburg 1-1 Dortmund
Saturday, December 16 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga
Last Game: Werder Bremen 2-0 Augsburg
Saturday, December 9 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga


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