SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 54.91%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 23.45% and a draw had a probability of 21.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.86%) and 2-0 (7.84%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Heidenheim |
54.91% ( -0.68) | 21.63% ( 0.24) | 23.45% ( 0.44) |
| Both teams to score 61.37% ( -0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.71% ( -0.63) | 37.28% ( 0.63) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.5% ( -0.68) | 59.49% ( 0.68) |
| Hoffenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.39% ( -0.42) | 13.6% ( 0.42) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.26% ( -0.84) | 40.74% ( 0.84) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.04% ( 0.01) | 28.96% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35.15% ( 0.01) | 64.85% ( -0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Hoffenheim | Draw | Heidenheim |
| 2-1 @ 9.71% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.86% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.84% ( -0)3-1 @ 6.46% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 5.21% ( -0.08)3-2 @ 4% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.22% ( -0.1)4-0 @ 2.6% ( -0.08)4-2 @ 2% ( -0.06)5-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.06)5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 3.69% Total : 54.91% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0)0-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.12)3-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.28% Total : 21.63% | 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.09) 0-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 3.03% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.49% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 2.49% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.25% ( 0.04)Other @ 3.28% Total : 23.45% |
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