SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 42.12%. A win for Heidenheim had a probability of 34.96% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.38%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Heidenheim win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
34.96% ( -0.27) | 22.92% ( 0.02) | 42.12% ( 0.26) |
| Both teams to score 65.22% ( -0.14) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.16% ( -0.16) | 35.84% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 42.07% ( -0.18) | 57.92% ( 0.18) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.14% ( -0.21) | 20.86% ( 0.22) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 46.45% ( -0.33) | 53.55% ( 0.34) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.4% ( 0.05) | 17.59% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.83% ( 0.07) | 48.17% ( -0.07) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
| 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 5.75% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.09% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.56% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 2.36% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.6% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.39% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 0.92% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.94% Total : 34.96% | 1-1 @ 10% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.03)3-3 @ 2.06% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.92% | 1-2 @ 8.68% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.06)0-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 5.03% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.94% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.19% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.02)Other @ 4.05% Total : 42.12% |
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