SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 57.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 20.92%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.61%) and 1-0 (8.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.7%), while for an Augsburg win it was 1-2 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
57.88% ( 0.4) | 21.2% ( -0.01) | 20.92% ( -0.39) |
| Both teams to score 59.25% ( -0.57) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.54% ( -0.48) | 38.45% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.25% ( -0.51) | 60.74% ( 0.5) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.9% ( -0.04) | 13.09% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.29% ( -0.07) | 39.71% ( 0.07) |
| Augsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.17% ( -0.63) | 31.83% ( 0.63) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.73% ( -0.73) | 68.26% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Heidenheim | Draw | Augsburg |
| 2-1 @ 9.86% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.61% ( 0.17)1-0 @ 8.47% ( 0.18)3-1 @ 6.68% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.11)3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.06)4-1 @ 3.4% 4-0 @ 2.97% ( 0.05)4-2 @ 1.94% ( -0.03)5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.21% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.7% Total : 57.88% | 1-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.64% ( -0.08)0-0 @ 4.17% ( 0.09)3-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.05)Other @ 0.23% Total : 21.2% | 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 4.77% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.03)2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0.07)1-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.55% Total : 20.92% |
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