SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sturm Graz win with a probability of 52.89%. A win for Austria Klagenfurt had a probability of 23.96% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sturm Graz win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.54%) and 0-2 (8.59%). The likeliest Austria Klagenfurt win was 2-1 (6.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sturm Graz would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria Klagenfurt | Draw | Sturm Graz |
23.96% ( -0.09) | 23.14% ( -0.42) | 52.89% ( 0.51) |
| Both teams to score 56.71% ( 1.28) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( 1.75) | 43.73% ( -1.75) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( 1.69) | 66.12% ( -1.69) |
| Austria Klagenfurt Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.93% ( 0.87) | 32.07% ( -0.87) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.46% ( 0.98) | 68.54% ( -0.98) |
| Sturm Graz Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.47% ( 0.82) | 16.52% ( -0.82) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.72% ( 1.46) | 46.27% ( -1.47) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria Klagenfurt | Draw | Sturm Graz |
| 2-1 @ 6.17% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.03% ( -0.32)2-0 @ 3.43% ( -0.1)3-1 @ 2.34% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 2.11% ( 0.11)3-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.6% Total : 23.96% | 1-1 @ 10.85% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.56% ( 0.15)0-0 @ 5.3% ( -0.42)3-3 @ 1.26% ( 0.1)Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.14% | 1-2 @ 9.77% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 9.54% ( -0.47)0-2 @ 8.59% ( -0.18)1-3 @ 5.86% ( 0.18)0-3 @ 5.15% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 3.33% ( 0.18)1-4 @ 2.64% ( 0.15)0-4 @ 2.32% ( 0.08)2-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.12)1-5 @ 0.95% ( 0.08)Other @ 3.24% Total : 52.89% |
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