SM
| Current Group F Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Austria | 3 | 4 | 7 |
| 2 | Belgium | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | Sweden | 2 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Estonia | 2 | -1 | 1 |
| 5 | Azerbaijan | 3 | -8 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Austria win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Sweden had a probability of 21.39%.
The most likely scoreline for an Austria win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.12%), while for a Sweden win it was 0-1 (6.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Austria would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Austria | Draw | Sweden |
55.19% ( 11.26) | 23.42% ( 1.71) | 21.39% ( -12.97) |
| Both teams to score 52.47% ( -17.31) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.24% ( -17.92) | 47.76% ( 17.92) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.05% ( -18.95) | 69.95% ( 18.96) |
| Austria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.84% ( -2.66) | 17.16% ( 2.67) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.59% ( -4.91) | 47.41% ( 4.92) |
| Sweden Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.34% ( -18.27) | 36.65% ( 18.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.56% ( -23.93) | 73.44% ( 23.93) |
| Score Analysis |
| Austria | Draw | Sweden |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( 5.93) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 1.39)2-0 @ 9.77% ( 4.8)3-1 @ 5.76% ( 0.34)3-0 @ 5.74% ( 2.54)3-2 @ 2.89% ( -1.7)4-1 @ 2.54% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.99)4-2 @ 1.27% ( -0.94)Other @ 3.79% Total : 55.18% | 1-1 @ 11.12% ( 2.4) 0-0 @ 6.29% ( 3.63)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -2.21)3-3 @ 0.97% ( -1.62)Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.41% | 0-1 @ 6.31% ( 1.8) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( -1.8)0-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.66)1-3 @ 1.87% ( -2.3)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -2.38)0-3 @ 1.06% ( -1.1)Other @ 1.75% Total : 21.39% |
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