SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aveley win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for Havant & Waterlooville had a probability of 29.3% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Aveley win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Havant & Waterlooville win was 0-1 (7.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Aveley | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
46.15% ( -0.14) | 24.55% ( 0.05) | 29.3% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 56.76% ( -0.1) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.15% ( -0.15) | 45.85% ( 0.16) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.84% ( -0.14) | 68.16% ( 0.15) |
| Aveley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.04% ( -0.12) | 19.96% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.87% ( -0.19) | 52.13% ( 0.2) |
| Havant & Waterlooville Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.92% ( -0.01) | 29.08% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 35% ( -0.01) | 65% ( 0.02) |
| Score Analysis |
| Aveley | Draw | Havant & Waterlooville |
| 1-0 @ 9.36% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.31% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 7.54% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 5% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.24% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.93% Total : 46.15% | 1-1 @ 11.55% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.75% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.17% Total : 24.55% | 0-1 @ 7.17% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 7.13% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.43% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.94% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.37% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 2.54% Total : 29.3% |
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