Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 39.62%. A win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 32.33% and a draw had a probability of 28%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.15%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Avispa Fukuoka win was 1-0 (10.6%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.
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