Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kawasaki Frontale win with a probability of 66.5%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Avispa Fukuoka had a probability of 12.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kawasaki Frontale win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14.18%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.8%), while for an Avispa Fukuoka win it was 0-1 (5.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Kawasaki Frontale would win this match.
