SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ayr United win with a probability of 57.47%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Peterhead had a probability of 19.92%.
The most likely scoreline for an Ayr United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.02%) and 2-1 (9.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.72%), while for a Peterhead win it was 0-1 (5.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ayr United would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ayr United | Draw | Peterhead |
57.47% ( -1.07) | 22.61% ( 0.43) | 19.92% ( 0.64) |
| Both teams to score 52.81% ( -0.34) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.8% ( -0.98) | 46.2% ( 0.98) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.51% ( -0.93) | 68.49% ( 0.93) |
| Ayr United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.19% ( -0.69) | 15.81% ( 0.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.02% ( -1.29) | 44.98% ( 1.29) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( 0.11) | 37.27% ( -0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.95% ( 0.11) | 74.05% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ayr United | Draw | Peterhead |
| 1-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 10.02% ( -0.06)2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 6.16% ( -0.19)3-1 @ 6.08% ( -0.17)3-2 @ 3% ( -0.07)4-0 @ 2.84% ( -0.16)4-1 @ 2.8% ( -0.15)4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.07)5-0 @ 1.05% ( -0.09)5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.08)Other @ 2.33% Total : 57.46% | 1-1 @ 10.72% ( 0.22) 0-0 @ 5.89% ( 0.24)2-2 @ 4.88% 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.6% | 0-1 @ 5.82% ( 0.25) 1-2 @ 5.3% ( 0.12)0-2 @ 2.87% ( 0.13)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.05)2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0)0-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.05)Other @ 1.64% Total : 19.92% |
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