SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterhead win with a probability of 38.54%. A win for Dumbarton had a probability of 36.29% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Peterhead win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.14%). The likeliest Dumbarton win was 0-1 (8.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Peterhead in this match.
| Result | ||
| Peterhead | Draw | Dumbarton |
38.54% ( -0.03) | 25.17% ( 0.01) | 36.29% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.12% ( -0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 53.53% ( -0.04) | 46.47% ( 0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.25% ( -0.03) | 68.75% ( 0.03) |
| Peterhead Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.19% ( -0.03) | 23.81% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.02% ( -0.05) | 57.98% ( 0.04) |
| Dumbarton Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.97% ( -0) | 25.03% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.3% ( -0.01) | 59.69% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Peterhead | Draw | Dumbarton |
| 1-0 @ 8.55% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0)2-0 @ 6.14% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.07% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.94% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.82% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.46% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.05% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0)Other @ 2.02% Total : 38.54% | 1-1 @ 11.84% 0-0 @ 5.96% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.89% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.3% ( -0)Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.16% | 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.21% ( 0)0-2 @ 5.72% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 3.79% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.72% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.64% ( 0)1-4 @ 1.31% 2-4 @ 0.94% ( -0)0-4 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.8% Total : 36.29% |
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