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Brasileiro | Gameweek 18
Jul 21, 2024 at 8pm UK
Arena Fonte Nova
C

Bahia
0 - 1
Corinthians


Alexandre (27'), Henrique (37'), Teixeira (54'), Cuesta (65')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Romero (37')
Ryan (36'), Henrique (39'), Kanu (90+2'), Ramalho (90+4')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Cuiaba
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Criciuma
Wednesday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro

We said: Bahia 2-1 Corinthians

Barring last week's defeat, Bahia have been incredible at home this season and they will be determined to bounce back here to keep the pressure on the sides at the top of the table. While Corinthians made a positive start to life under new leadership, it is difficult to look past the fact that they have not won an away match in 2024, and we feel they will see that record extended in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 63.98%. A draw had a probability of 21.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 14.45%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.59%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.18%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (5.4%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
BahiaDrawCorinthians
63.98% (0.0019999999999953 0) 21.57% (0.0010000000000012 0) 14.45% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
Both teams to score 45.19% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.29% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)50.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.39% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)72.61% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Bahia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.8%15.2% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.17%43.83% (0.0010000000000048 0)
Corinthians Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.29% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)46.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.73% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)82.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Score Analysis
    Bahia 63.97%
    Corinthians 14.45%
    Draw 21.57%
BahiaDrawCorinthians
1-0 @ 13.37%
2-0 @ 12.59%
2-1 @ 9.59%
3-0 @ 7.91%
3-1 @ 6.02%
4-0 @ 3.73%
4-1 @ 2.84%
3-2 @ 2.29%
5-0 @ 1.4%
4-2 @ 1.08%
5-1 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 63.97%
1-1 @ 10.18%
0-0 @ 7.1% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 3.65%
Other @ 0.64%
Total : 21.57%
0-1 @ 5.4%
1-2 @ 3.88%
0-2 @ 2.06%
1-3 @ 0.98% (-0.001 -0)
2-3 @ 0.93% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.2%
Total : 14.45%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Bahia 1-2 Cuiaba
Saturday, July 13 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Athletico PR 1-3 Bahia
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Bahia
Sunday, July 7 at 10.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-0 Juventude
Thursday, July 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Sao Paulo 3-1 Bahia
Sunday, June 30 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Bahia 2-1 Vasco
Thursday, June 27 at 1.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 2-1 Criciuma
Wednesday, July 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Vasco 2-0 Corinthians
Wednesday, July 10 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Cruzeiro 3-0 Corinthians
Sunday, July 7 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 3-2 Vitoria
Friday, July 5 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 2-0 Corinthians
Tuesday, July 2 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Corinthians 1-1 Cuiaba
Thursday, June 27 at 12am in Brasileiro


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