These teams are near the bottom of the standings for a reason, as neither have been able to put their opportunities away consistently. Although Bahia will have a few extra days to rest, Corinthians have reacted well when faced with a setback lately and we believe they will again come Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 45.15%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Corinthians had a probability of 26.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.23%) and 2-1 (8.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.02%), while for a Corinthians win it was 0-1 (10.17%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Corinthians
45.15% ( -1.8)	28.58% ( 0.74)	26.26% ( 1.06)

Both teams to score 42.93% (

-1.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.27% (

-1.78)

62.73% (

1.78)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.73% (

-1.31)

82.27% (

1.32)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.19% (

-1.75)

27.81% (

1.75)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.6% (

-2.3)

63.4% (

2.3)

Corinthians Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.47% (

-0.05)

40.53% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.87% (

-0.05)

77.13% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Bahia 45.15%

Corinthians 26.25%

Draw 28.58%

Bahia	Draw	Corinthians
1-0 @ 14.42% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.23% ( -0.31) 2-1 @ 8.34% ( -0.29) 3-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.34) 3-1 @ 3.56% ( -0.31) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.14) 4-0 @ 1.26% ( -0.18) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( -0.16) Other @ 1.67% Total : 45.15%	1-1 @ 13.02% ( 0.2) 0-0 @ 11.27% ( 0.73) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.52% Total : 28.58%	0-1 @ 10.17% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 4.6% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.38% ( 0.08) 2-3 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.31% Total : 26.25%