Petit's men are expected to make the match tedious to play in, keen to secure a potentially much-needed point. While this should work to an extent, Bahia's ability to score at one end and prevent them at the other should be enough for a slender margin of victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 63.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 14.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.03%) and 2-1 (9.37%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.46%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Bahia	Draw	Cuiaba
63.03% ( -0.11)	22.48% ( 0.07)	14.49% ( 0.04)

Both teams to score 42.72% (

-0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.87% (

-0.17)

54.13% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.46% (

-0.14)

75.54% (

0.14)

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.32% (

-0.1)

16.68% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.45% (

-0.17)

46.55% (

0.17)

Cuiaba Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.27% (

-0.04)

48.73% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.24% (

-0.03)

83.76% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Bahia 63.02%

Cuiaba 14.49%

Draw 22.48%

Bahia	Draw	Cuiaba
1-0 @ 14.55% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 13.03% 2-1 @ 9.37% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.6% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.25% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.9% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 63.02%	1-1 @ 10.46% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.13% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.52% Total : 22.48%	0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 3.76% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.1% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 0.9% Other @ 1.88% Total : 14.49%