Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 43.08%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 32.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.97%) and 0-2 (6.93%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 2-1 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.
Result | ||
Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
32.08% ( 0.05) | 24.83% ( 0) | 43.08% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 57.25% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.14% ( 0.01) | 45.85% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.83% ( 0.01) | 68.17% ( -0.01) |
Ballymena United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.76% ( 0.04) | 27.23% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.34% ( 0.05) | 62.66% ( -0.04) |
Carrick Rangers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.68% ( -0.01) | 21.32% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.73% ( -0.02) | 54.27% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
2-1 @ 7.59% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7.55% ( 0) 2-0 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.29% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 2.99% Total : 32.08% | 1-1 @ 11.67% 2-2 @ 5.87% ( 0) 0-0 @ 5.81% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( 0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 24.83% | 1-2 @ 9.02% ( -0) 0-1 @ 8.97% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 6.93% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.02% 1-4 @ 1.8% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0) Other @ 2.57% Total : 43.08% |
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