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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 21
Dec 15, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
0 - 2
Carrick


Boyle (47'), Rocks (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Cushley (28' pen.), Purkis (90+6')
Crowe (61'), Gordon (79'), Andrews (84'), Andrews (85')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-0 Ballymena
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Crusaders
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 37.64%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 36.08% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.29%) and 0-2 (6.41%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
36.08% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 26.28% (0.065000000000001 0.07) 37.64% (-0.122 -0.12)
Both teams to score 53.27% (-0.22 -0.22)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.61% (-0.282 -0.28)51.39% (0.281 0.28)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.79% (-0.248 -0.25)73.21% (0.246 0.25)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.101 -0.1)27.46% (0.099999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.132 -0.13)62.96% (0.131 0.13)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.44% (-0.20100000000001 -0.2)26.56% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.23% (-0.268 -0.27)61.77% (0.267 0.27)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 36.08%
    Carrick Rangers 37.64%
    Draw 26.27%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 9.43% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.08% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
2-0 @ 6.09% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.48% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.62% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.31% (-0.02 -0.02)
4-1 @ 1.12% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.08%
1-1 @ 12.49% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 7.29% (0.081 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.35% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (-0.015 -0.02)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.67% (0.053999999999998 0.05)
1-2 @ 8.29% (-0.023999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-3 @ 3.66% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.83% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.37% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.21% (-0.017 -0.02)
0-4 @ 0.94% (-0.011 -0.01)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 37.64%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-0 Ballymena
Friday, December 8 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-0 Larne
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 4-0 Ballymena
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 5-0 Ballymena
Saturday, November 18 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Glenavon
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Loughgall 5-2 Ballymena
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Crusaders
Friday, December 8 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 2-2 Loughgall
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, November 25 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-3 Cliftonville
Sunday, November 19 at 2pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Dungannon 2-3 Carrick
Saturday, November 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 2-3 Carrick
Saturday, November 4 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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