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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 28
Feb 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Belfast Loughshore Hotel Arena

Carrick
1 - 0
Ballymena

Macuilaitis (28')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Wilson (43')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Carrick Rangers and Ballymena United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Carrick
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-0 Portadown
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Carrick Rangers win with a probability of 48.16%. A win for Ballymena United had a probability of 27.93% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Carrick Rangers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Ballymena United win was 1-2 (6.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Carrick Rangers would win this match.

Result
Carrick RangersDrawBallymena United
48.16% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 23.92% (0.0019999999999989 0) 27.93% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Both teams to score 57.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.15% (0.0040000000000049 0)43.85% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.76% (0.0040000000000049 0)66.24%
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.66% (0.0030000000000001 0)18.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.54% (0.0019999999999953 0)49.46% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)29.03% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.06% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)64.94% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Score Analysis
    Carrick Rangers 48.16%
    Ballymena United 27.93%
    Draw 23.91%
Carrick RangersDrawBallymena United
2-1 @ 9.47%
1-0 @ 9.03% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.35%
3-0 @ 4.33%
3-2 @ 3.31%
4-1 @ 2.27%
4-0 @ 1.84%
4-2 @ 1.4%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.16%
1-1 @ 11.17%
2-2 @ 5.86% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-0 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.37%
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 23.91%
1-2 @ 6.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 6.59%
0-2 @ 4.07% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 2.85% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.41%
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 3.42%
Total : 27.93%

Read more!
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Form Guide
Last Game: Newry City AFC 0-2 Carrick
Friday, February 10 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-1 Glenavon
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Coleraine 1-0 Carrick
Tuesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-3 Cliftonville
Friday, January 13 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-3 Crusaders
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Larne 0-0 Carrick
Monday, December 26 at 5.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-0 Portadown
Saturday, February 11 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Cliftonville 4-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-0 Newry City AFC
Tuesday, January 24 at 8pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 3-0 Ballymena
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 2-0 Dungannon
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 2-0 Glentoran
Monday, January 2 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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