SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 29.06% and a draw had a probability of 27%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.77%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Carrick Rangers win was 0-1 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Ballymena United in this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
43.93% ( -0.07) | 27.02% ( 0.04) | 29.06% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 48.86% ( -0.09) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.95% ( -0.13) | 56.05% ( 0.13) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.87% ( -0.11) | 77.13% ( 0.11) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.66% ( -0.09) | 25.35% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.87% ( -0.13) | 60.13% ( 0.13) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.45% ( -0.05) | 34.55% ( 0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.73% ( -0.05) | 71.27% ( 0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 12.01% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.25% ( -0)3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.13% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.3% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.3% Total : 43.92% | 1-1 @ 12.77% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.76% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.83% Total : 27.01% | 0-1 @ 9.31% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( -0)0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.41% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.65% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.21% Total : 29.06% |
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