SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Crusaders win with a probability of 67.83%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 12.81%.
The most likely scoreline for a Crusaders win was 0-2 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (11.74%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.21%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 1-0 (4.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Crusaders would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Crusaders |
12.81% ( 0.04) | 19.36% ( 0.02) | 67.83% ( -0.05) |
| Both teams to score 47.67% ( 0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.02% ( -0.01) | 44.98% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.67% ( -0.01) | 67.33% ( 0.01) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.33% ( 0.05) | 45.67% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.54% ( 0.04) | 81.46% ( -0.04) |
| Crusaders Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.75% ( -0.02) | 12.25% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 62.03% ( -0.04) | 37.97% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Crusaders |
| 1-0 @ 4.38% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 3.61% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 1.72% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0)3-1 @ 0.94% ( 0)Other @ 1.17% Total : 12.81% | 1-1 @ 9.21% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.77% Total : 19.36% | 0-2 @ 12.33% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 11.74% 1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0)0-3 @ 8.63% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 6.77% ( -0)0-4 @ 4.53% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 3.55% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.65% ( 0)0-5 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-5 @ 1.49% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.39% ( 0)Other @ 3.17% Total : 67.82% |
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