SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 45.17%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 29.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.12%) and 2-0 (7.96%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 0-1 (8.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.22%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
45.17% ( -0.46) | 25.7% ( 0.19) | 29.13% ( 0.27) |
| Both teams to score 52.9% ( -0.44) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.15% ( -0.65) | 50.84% ( 0.65) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.27% ( -0.58) | 72.73% ( 0.58) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.53% ( -0.49) | 22.47% ( 0.49) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.98% ( -0.73) | 56.02% ( 0.73) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.24% ( -0.14) | 31.76% ( 0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.81% ( -0.16) | 68.19% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
| 1-0 @ 10.65% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.12% ( -0.06)2-0 @ 7.96% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.1)3-0 @ 3.96% ( -0.07)3-2 @ 2.6% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.05)4-2 @ 0.97% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.19% Total : 45.16% | 1-1 @ 12.22% ( 0.1) 0-0 @ 7.14% ( 0.19)2-2 @ 5.23% ( -0.05)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.7% | 0-1 @ 8.18% ( 0.18) 1-2 @ 7.01% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 4.69% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 2.68% ( 0)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.78% Total : 29.13% |
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