SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Glenavon win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Ballymena United had a probability of 23.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Glenavon win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.78%) and 2-0 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.09%), while for a Ballymena United win it was 0-1 (6.29%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Glenavon | Draw | Ballymena United |
53.44% ( -0.21) | 23.45% ( 0.08) | 23.11% ( 0.14) |
| Both teams to score 54.66% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.03% ( -0.18) | 45.97% ( 0.18) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.73% ( -0.17) | 68.28% ( 0.17) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.86% ( -0.14) | 17.15% ( 0.15) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.63% ( -0.25) | 47.38% ( 0.26) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.97% ( 0.03) | 34.04% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.28% ( 0.03) | 70.73% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| Glenavon | Draw | Ballymena United |
| 1-0 @ 10.29% ( 0.03) 2-1 @ 9.78% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 9.08% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.75% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.02)4-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.03)4-0 @ 2.35% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.37% ( -0.01)Other @ 3.87% Total : 53.44% | 1-1 @ 11.09% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.04)2-2 @ 5.27% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.14% Total : 23.45% | 0-1 @ 6.29% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 5.98% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 2.15% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.2% Total : 23.11% |
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