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NIFL Premiership | Gameweek 19
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
The Showgrounds

Ballymena
1 - 2
Carrick

McCallion (65')
Carson (8'), Scott (22')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Purkis (49'), Macuilaitis (71')
Forsythe (22'), Cherry (23'), Clucas (25'), Heatley (80')
Glendinning (79')
Coverage of the NIFL Premiership clash between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cliftonville 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Dungannon
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.12%.

The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
55.19% (-0.114 -0.11) 23.69% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 21.12% (0.092000000000002 0.09)
Both teams to score 51.26% (0.071999999999996 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.82% (0.029000000000003 0.03)49.18% (-0.033000000000001 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.75% (0.027000000000001 0.03)71.24% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Ballymena United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.32% (-0.034000000000006 -0.03)17.68% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.68% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)48.31% (0.051000000000002 0.05)
Carrick Rangers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.27% (0.111 0.11)37.73% (-0.115 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.49% (0.107 0.11)74.5% (-0.111 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Ballymena United 55.18%
    Carrick Rangers 21.12%
    Draw 23.68%
Ballymena UnitedDrawCarrick Rangers
1-0 @ 11.55% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 10.01% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.76% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-0 @ 5.78% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.75% (0.0050000000000003 0.01)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.012 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.44% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 55.18%
1-1 @ 11.26% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.76% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 23.68%
0-1 @ 6.5% (0.012 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.49% (0.021 0.02)
0-2 @ 3.17% (0.015 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.78% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.55% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 1.6%
Total : 21.12%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Cliftonville 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Linfield 2-0 Ballymena
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-3 Portadown
Friday, November 1 at 7.45pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Crusaders 1-0 Ballymena
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Ballymena 0-1 Coleraine
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 0-1 Ballymena
Saturday, October 12 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 0-1 Dungannon
Saturday, November 23 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 3-0 Crusaders
Saturday, November 16 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Portadown 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Carrick 1-3 Linfield
Sunday, November 3 at 12.30pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glenavon 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, October 26 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership
Last Game: Glentoran 1-1 Carrick
Saturday, October 19 at 3pm in NIFL Premiership


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