SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 55.19%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Carrick Rangers had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.01%) and 2-1 (9.76%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Carrick Rangers win it was 0-1 (6.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
55.19% ( -0.11) | 23.69% ( 0.02) | 21.12% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 51.26% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.82% ( 0.03) | 49.18% ( -0.03) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.75% ( 0.03) | 71.24% ( -0.03) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.32% ( -0.03) | 17.68% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 51.68% ( -0.05) | 48.31% ( 0.05) |
| Carrick Rangers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.27% ( 0.11) | 37.73% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.49% ( 0.11) | 74.5% ( -0.11) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Carrick Rangers |
| 1-0 @ 11.55% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.03)2-1 @ 9.76% ( -0)3-0 @ 5.78% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 5.64% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)4-0 @ 2.51% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 2.44% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.19% ( 0)Other @ 3.55% Total : 55.18% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.01)2-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.99% Total : 23.68% | 0-1 @ 6.5% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.49% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 3.17% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 1.78% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 1.03% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.6% Total : 21.12% |
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