SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Glenavon had a probability of 37.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.62%) and 2-0 (5.71%). The likeliest Glenavon win was 1-2 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.28%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
38.18% ( -0.12) | 24.4% ( 0.02) | 37.42% ( 0.1) |
| Both teams to score 59.98% ( -0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.2% ( -0.11) | 42.8% ( 0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.8% ( -0.1) | 65.21% ( 0.1) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.64% ( -0.11) | 22.36% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.15% ( -0.16) | 55.86% ( 0.16) |
| Glenavon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.25% ( -0) | 22.75% |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.57% ( 0) | 56.43% ( -0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Glenavon |
| 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.71% ( -0.01)3-1 @ 4.22% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 3.12% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.85% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.58% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 1.17% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.18% | 1-1 @ 11.28% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.01)0-0 @ 5.09% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.54% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 24.4% | 1-2 @ 8.35% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 7.53% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.03)1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 3.09% ( -0)0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.53% ( 0)2-4 @ 1.14% ( -0)0-4 @ 1.02% ( 0)Other @ 2.31% Total : 37.42% |
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