SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ballymena United win with a probability of 47.45%. A win for Dungannon Swifts had a probability of 27.8% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ballymena United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Dungannon Swifts win was 0-1 (7.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.72%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Ballymena United | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
47.45% ( -0.04) | 24.75% ( 0.01) | 27.8% ( 0.03) |
| Both teams to score 55.04% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.37% ( -0.04) | 47.64% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.17% ( -0.04) | 69.84% ( 0.04) |
| Ballymena United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.87% ( -0.03) | 20.13% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.6% ( -0.06) | 52.4% ( 0.06) |
| Dungannon Swifts Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.92% ( 0) | 31.09% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.6% ( 0) | 67.41% ( 0) |
| Score Analysis |
| Ballymena United | Draw | Dungannon Swifts |
| 1-0 @ 10.03% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.04% ( -0)3-1 @ 5.02% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 4.3% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 2.93% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.01% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.18% ( -0)Other @ 2.83% Total : 47.45% | 1-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.26% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0)3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.75% | 0-1 @ 7.31% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.27% ( 0.01)1-3 @ 2.67% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.14% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.66% ( 0)Other @ 2.9% Total : 27.8% |
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