SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Baltika win with a probability of 38.74%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 33.83% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Baltika win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.21%) and 2-0 (7.06%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (10.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.97%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Baltika | Draw | Sochi |
38.74% ( 0.44) | 27.42% ( -0.05) | 33.83% ( -0.4) |
| Both teams to score 49.36% ( 0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.78% ( 0.12) | 56.22% ( -0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.73% ( 0.09) | 77.27% ( -0.1) |
| Baltika Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 71.78% ( 0.31) | 28.21% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.08% ( 0.39) | 63.91% ( -0.4) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.76% ( -0.2) | 31.24% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.41% ( -0.24) | 67.58% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Baltika | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 11.15% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 8.21% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 7.06% ( 0.09)3-1 @ 3.46% ( 0.06)3-0 @ 2.98% ( 0.06)3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02)4-1 @ 1.1% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.83% Total : 38.74% | 1-1 @ 12.97% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 4.78% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.42% | 0-1 @ 10.25% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 7.55% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 5.97% ( -0.09)1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.97% Total : 33.83% |
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