Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Orenburg had a probability of 29.77% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.28%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Orenburg win was 1-2 (7.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.43%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
Result | ||
Sochi | Draw | Orenburg |
45.83% (![]() | 24.4% (![]() | 29.77% (![]() |
Both teams to score 57.57% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.09% (![]() | 44.91% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.73% (![]() | 67.26% (![]() |
Sochi Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.28% (![]() | 19.72% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.26% (![]() | 51.73% (![]() |
Orenburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% (![]() | 28.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% (![]() | 64% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Sochi | Draw | Orenburg |
2-1 @ 9.28% (![]() 1-0 @ 9.05% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 7.35% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.02% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.98% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.04% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.62% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.29% ( ![]() Other @ 3.02% Total : 45.83% | 1-1 @ 11.43% (![]() 2-2 @ 5.86% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 5.58% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 1.34% ( ![]() Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.39% | 1-2 @ 7.22% 0-1 @ 7.04% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.45% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 3.04% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 2.47% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 0.96% ( ![]() Other @ 2.72% Total : 29.77% |
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