SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nizhny Novgorod win with a probability of 43.52%. A win for Sochi had a probability of 29.23% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nizhny Novgorod win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.23%). The likeliest Sochi win was 0-1 (9.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.85%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Nizhny Novgorod in this match.
| Result | ||
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Sochi |
43.52% ( -0.01) | 27.25% ( 0.01) | 29.23% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 48.29% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.17% ( -0.02) | 56.83% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.24% ( -0.01) | 77.76% ( 0.02) |
| Nizhny Novgorod Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.09% ( -0.02) | 25.9% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.1% ( -0.02) | 60.9% ( 0.02) |
| Sochi Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.17% ( -0) | 34.83% ( 0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 28.44% ( -0) | 71.56% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Nizhny Novgorod | Draw | Sochi |
| 1-0 @ 12.18% 2-1 @ 8.68% ( -0)2-0 @ 8.23% ( -0)3-1 @ 3.91% ( -0)3-0 @ 3.71% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.06% ( -0)4-1 @ 1.32% ( -0)4-0 @ 1.25% ( -0)Other @ 2.17% Total : 43.51% | 1-1 @ 12.85% 0-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.01)2-2 @ 4.58% ( -0)Other @ 0.79% Total : 27.24% | 0-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 6.78% 0-2 @ 5.02% ( 0)1-3 @ 2.38% ( -0)0-3 @ 1.77% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0)Other @ 2.16% Total : 29.23% |
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