Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sochi win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Krylia Sovetov had a probability of 30.38% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sochi win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Krylia Sovetov win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.