SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 59.77%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Osasuna had a probability of 19.53%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.89%) and 1-0 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Osasuna win it was 1-2 (5.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
59.77% ( 0.24) | 20.69% ( -0.05) | 19.53% ( -0.19) |
| Both teams to score 58.75% ( -0.15) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.95% ( -0.04) | 38.04% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 39.69% ( -0.05) | 60.3% ( 0.04) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.58% ( 0.05) | 12.41% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 61.69% ( 0.11) | 38.31% ( -0.12) |
| Osasuna Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.07% ( -0.21) | 32.92% ( 0.21) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( -0.23) | 69.49% ( 0.23) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barcelona | Draw | Osasuna |
| 2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.05)1-0 @ 8.53% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.02)3-0 @ 6.19% ( 0.05)3-2 @ 3.82% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.59% ( 0.02)4-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 1.99% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)5-0 @ 1.35% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.95% Total : 59.77% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.03)0-0 @ 4.09% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.69% | 1-2 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 4.54% ( -0.02)0-2 @ 2.52% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.03% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 1.95% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.29% Total : 19.53% |
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