Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 61.2%. A win for Young Boys had a probability of 19.91% and a draw had a probability of 18.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (7.36%) and 2-0 (7.05%). The likeliest Young Boys win was 1-2 (5.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.75%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
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