SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Young Boys win with a probability of 43.8%. A win for FC Winterthur had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Young Boys win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (6.27%). The likeliest FC Winterthur win was 2-1 (7.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Young Boys would win this match.
| Result | ||
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Young Boys |
32.68% ( -0.25) | 23.51% ( -0.03) | 43.8% ( 0.28) |
| Both teams to score 62.22% ( 0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 60.54% ( 0.07) | 39.45% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.2% ( 0.08) | 61.79% ( -0.08) |
| FC Winterthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.22% ( -0.11) | 23.78% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 42.06% ( -0.16) | 57.94% ( 0.16) |
| Young Boys Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.63% ( 0.14) | 18.37% ( -0.14) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.5% ( 0.24) | 49.49% ( -0.25) |
| Score Analysis |
| FC Winterthur | Draw | Young Boys |
| 2-1 @ 7.64% ( -0.04) 1-0 @ 6.27% ( -0.04)2-0 @ 4.51% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.66% ( -0.03)3-2 @ 3.1% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 2.16% ( -0.03)4-1 @ 1.31% ( -0.02)4-2 @ 1.11% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.94% Total : 32.68% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.47% ( -0)0-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.01)3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0)Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.51% | 1-2 @ 9.01% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 6.27% ( 0.04)1-3 @ 5.09% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.65% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 3.54% ( 0.04)1-4 @ 2.16% ( 0.03)2-4 @ 1.55% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 1.5% ( 0.02)Other @ 3.63% Total : 43.8% |
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