Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Catanzaro win with a probability of 37.04%. A win for Bari had a probability of 35.63% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Catanzaro win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.63%). The likeliest Bari win was 1-0 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Catanzaro
35.63% ( -0.03)	27.34% ( -0.01)	37.04% ( 0.05)

Both teams to score 49.83% (

0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.28% (

0.05)

55.73% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.13% (

0.04)

76.87% (

-0.04)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.16% (

29.84% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.07% (

65.93% (

-0)

Catanzaro Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.02% (

0.05)

28.98% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.13% (

0.06)

64.87% (

-0.06)

Score Analysis

Bari 35.62%

Catanzaro 37.04%

Draw 27.34%

Bari	Draw	Catanzaro
1-0 @ 10.45% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 7.83% ( -0) 2-0 @ 6.32% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.16% 3-0 @ 2.55% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 0.95% Other @ 2.4% Total : 35.62%	1-1 @ 12.95% 0-0 @ 8.65% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.89% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 10.71% 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.03% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.59% Total : 37.04%