Serie B | Gameweek 4
Sep 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Libero Liberati
Diakite (3'), Falletti (74'), Favasuli (78')
FT
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Ternana and Bari.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result |
Ternana | Draw | Bari |
32.71% ( 2.1) | 27.56% ( -0.22) | 39.73% ( -1.87) |
Both teams to score 48.7% ( 1.32) |
43.06% ( 1.35) | 56.94% ( -1.35) |
22.15% ( 1.07) | 77.84% ( -1.07) |
67.64% ( 2.2) | 32.36% ( -2.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.13% ( 2.41) | 68.87% ( -2.41) |
72% ( -0.4) | 28% ( 0.4) |