Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Ternana had a probability of 32.71% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.34%). The likeliest Ternana win was 1-0 (10.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Ternana | Draw | Bari |
32.71% ( 2.1) | 27.56% ( -0.22) | 39.73% ( -1.87) |
Both teams to score 48.7% ( 1.32) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.06% ( 1.35) | 56.94% ( -1.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.15% ( 1.07) | 77.84% ( -1.07) |
Ternana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.64% ( 2.2) | 32.36% ( -2.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.13% ( 2.41) | 68.87% ( -2.41) |
Bari Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72% ( -0.4) | 28% ( 0.4) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.36% ( -0.51) | 63.64% ( 0.52) |
Score Analysis |
Ternana | Draw | Bari |
1-0 @ 10.22% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 7.34% ( 0.41) 2-0 @ 5.77% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 2.76% ( 0.31) 3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0.26) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( 0.18) Other @ 2.69% Total : 32.71% | 1-1 @ 13.01% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 9.06% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.21) Other @ 0.82% Total : 27.56% | 0-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.74) 1-2 @ 8.28% ( -0.12) 0-2 @ 7.34% ( -0.56) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 3.12% ( -0.28) 2-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.07) 1-4 @ 1.12% ( -0.04) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( -0.1) Other @ 1.84% Total : 39.72% |
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