SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 37.47%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 36.95% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.34%) and 0-2 (6.11%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-0 (8.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
36.95% ( -0.05) | 25.59% ( 0.21) | 37.47% ( -0.16) |
| Both teams to score 55.69% ( -0.75) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 51.68% ( -0.96) | 48.32% ( 0.96) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 29.53% ( -0.88) | 70.47% ( 0.88) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.48% ( -0.47) | 25.52% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 39.62% ( -0.65) | 60.38% ( 0.65) |
| Bolton Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.77% ( -0.52) | 25.23% ( 0.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 40.02% ( -0.73) | 59.98% ( 0.73) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
| 1-0 @ 8.79% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 3.76% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 2.73% ( -0)3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.08)4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 0.93% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.57% Total : 36.95% | 1-1 @ 12.11% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 6.44% ( 0.25)2-2 @ 5.69% ( -0.1)3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.59% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( 0.22) 1-2 @ 8.34% ( -0.04)0-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 3.83% ( -0.08)0-3 @ 2.8% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 2.61% ( -0.09)1-4 @ 1.32% ( -0.05)0-4 @ 0.97% ( -0.02)Other @ 2.63% Total : 37.47% |
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