SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.58%. A win for Crawley Town had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.7%) and 2-0 (7.15%). The likeliest Crawley Town win was 1-2 (7.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Barnsley | Draw | Crawley Town |
45.58% ( -0.38) | 24.19% ( 0.16) | 30.23% ( 0.22) |
| Both teams to score 58.56% ( -0.42) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 56.27% ( -0.61) | 43.73% ( 0.61) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.88% ( -0.6) | 66.12% ( 0.6) |
| Barnsley Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 80.65% ( -0.4) | 19.35% ( 0.4) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 48.87% ( -0.66) | 51.13% ( 0.66) |
| Crawley Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.61% ( -0.16) | 27.39% ( 0.16) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.14% ( -0.2) | 62.86% ( 0.2) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barnsley | Draw | Crawley Town |
| 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.12)2-0 @ 7.15% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 5.07% ( -0.08)3-0 @ 3.92% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 3.28% ( -0.07)4-1 @ 2.08% ( -0.06)4-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.35% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.17% Total : 45.58% | 1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.11) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.04)0-0 @ 5.3% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 1.42% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.21% Total : 24.19% | 1-2 @ 7.3% ( 0.04) 0-1 @ 6.86% ( 0.15)0-2 @ 4.44% ( 0.08)1-3 @ 3.15% ( 0)2-3 @ 2.59% ( -0.03)0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.02)1-4 @ 1.02% ( -0)Other @ 2.95% Total : 30.23% |
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