Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 48.27%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.74%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood.

Result
Barracas Central	Draw	Independiente
23.1% ( -0.26)	28.62% ( -0.23)	48.27% ( 0.48)

Both teams to score 40.37% (

0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

35.36% (

0.5)

64.64% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

16.36% (

0.35)

83.63% (

-0.36)

Barracas Central Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

55.39% (

0.04)

44.6% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.38% (

0.03)

80.61% (

-0.04)

Independiente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.87% (

0.48)

27.12% (

-0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.48% (

0.63)

62.51% (

-0.63)

Score Analysis

Barracas Central 23.1%

Independiente 48.26%

Draw 28.61%

Barracas Central	Draw	Independiente
1-0 @ 9.77% ( -0.17) 2-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 1.39% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.06% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 0.9% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.1%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( -0.05) 0-0 @ 12.09% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 3.36% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.42% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 15.78% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 10.29% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 8.31% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 4.48% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 3.62% ( 0.08) 0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 1.18% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.68% Total : 48.26%