SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Barracas Central | Draw | Independiente |
23.6% ( 0.01) | 28.66% ( 0) | 47.74% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 40.72% ( -0) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 35.56% ( -0.01) | 64.44% ( 0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 16.5% ( -0) | 83.49% ( 0) |
| Barracas Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56% ( 0.01) | 43.99% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.88% ( 0) | 80.12% ( -0.01) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.7% ( -0.01) | 27.3% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 37.26% ( -0.01) | 62.74% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Barracas Central | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 9.86% ( 0) 2-1 @ 5.26% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.05% ( 0)3-1 @ 1.44% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.11% ( 0)3-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 0.95% Total : 23.6% | 1-1 @ 12.8% 0-0 @ 12% 2-2 @ 3.41% Other @ 0.43% Total : 28.64% | 0-1 @ 15.59% 0-2 @ 10.12% 1-2 @ 8.31% ( -0)0-3 @ 4.38% ( -0)1-3 @ 3.6% ( -0)2-3 @ 1.48% 0-4 @ 1.42% ( -0)1-4 @ 1.17% Other @ 1.67% Total : 47.73% |
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