Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 47.74%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Barracas Central had a probability of 23.6%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.12%) and 1-2 (8.31%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.8%), while for a Barracas Central win it was 1-0 (9.86%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.8% likelihood.
0.01) 
-0.02) 
