SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 37.28%. A draw had a probability of 31.9% and a win for Instituto had a probability of 30.79%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.64%) and 1-2 (6.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (15.24%), while for a Instituto win it was 1-0 (13.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Independiente would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Instituto | Draw | Independiente |
30.79% ( -0.79) | 31.93% ( -0.04) | 37.28% ( 0.84) |
| Both teams to score 37.02% ( -0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 29.12% ( 0.01) | 70.88% ( -0) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 12.21% ( 0.01) | 87.79% ( -0) |
| Instituto Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.53% ( -0.62) | 41.47% ( 0.62) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.03% ( -0.55) | 77.97% ( 0.55) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 63.25% ( 0.57) | 36.75% ( -0.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 26.46% ( 0.56) | 73.53% ( -0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Instituto | Draw | Independiente |
| 1-0 @ 13.41% ( -0.23) 2-1 @ 5.91% ( -0.11)2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.21)3-1 @ 1.73% ( -0.06)3-0 @ 1.73% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.1% Total : 30.79% | 0-0 @ 15.24% 1-1 @ 13.42% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.31% Total : 31.93% | 0-1 @ 15.25% ( 0.23) 0-2 @ 7.64% ( 0.23)1-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 2.55% ( 0.11)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.06)2-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.88% Total : 37.27% |
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