SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Independiente win with a probability of 43.47%. A draw had a probability of 30.2% and a win for Rosario Central had a probability of 26.38%.
The most likely scoreline for a Independiente win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.16%) and 2-1 (7.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.35%), while for a Rosario Central win it was 0-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 15.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Independiente in this match.
| Result | ||
| Independiente | Draw | Rosario Central |
43.47% ( 0.66) | 30.15% ( -0.2) | 26.38% ( -0.46) |
| Both teams to score 39.28% ( 0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 32.69% ( 0.38) | 67.31% ( -0.38) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.53% ( 0.26) | 85.47% ( -0.26) |
| Independiente Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 69% ( 0.58) | 31% ( -0.58) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 32.69% ( 0.67) | 67.31% ( -0.67) |
| Rosario Central Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.92% ( -0.18) | 43.08% ( 0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 20.65% ( -0.16) | 79.36% ( 0.16) |
| Score Analysis |
| Independiente | Draw | Rosario Central |
| 1-0 @ 15.64% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.16)2-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 3.58% ( 0.12)3-1 @ 3.01% ( 0.09)3-2 @ 1.27% ( 0.03)4-0 @ 1.05% ( 0.05)Other @ 2.06% Total : 43.47% | 0-0 @ 13.35% ( -0.19) 1-1 @ 13.17% ( -0.04)2-2 @ 3.25% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.38% Total : 30.15% | 0-1 @ 11.24% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.05)0-2 @ 4.74% ( -0.12)1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02)0-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 0.91% ( 0)Other @ 1.05% Total : 26.37% |
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