Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 59.91%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Harrogate Town had a probability of 17.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.76%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.81%), while for a Harrogate Town win it was 0-1 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood.