SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Basel win with a probability of 63.75%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Stade Lausanne-Ouchy had a probability of 16.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a Basel win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.57%) and 1-0 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9%), while for a Stade Lausanne-Ouchy win it was 1-2 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Basel would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Basel | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
63.75% ( -0.03) | 19.55% ( 0.01) | 16.71% ( 0.02) |
| Both teams to score 57.16% ( -0.02) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 62.5% ( -0.04) | 37.5% ( 0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 40.27% ( -0.05) | 59.73% ( 0.04) |
| Basel Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 88.83% ( -0.02) | 11.17% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 64.35% ( -0.04) | 35.65% ( 0.04) |
| Stade Lausanne-Ouchy Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.35% ( -0.01) | 35.65% ( 0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 27.58% ( -0.01) | 72.42% ( 0.01) |
| Score Analysis |
| Basel | Draw | Stade Lausanne-Ouchy |
| 2-1 @ 9.87% ( 0) 2-0 @ 9.57% ( 0)1-0 @ 8.73% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 7.21% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.99% ( -0)4-1 @ 3.95% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 3.83% ( -0)3-2 @ 3.72% ( -0)4-2 @ 2.04% ( -0)5-1 @ 1.73% ( -0)5-0 @ 1.68% ( -0)Other @ 4.43% Total : 63.75% | 1-1 @ 9% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.09% 0-0 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.28% ( -0)Other @ 0.2% Total : 19.55% | 1-2 @ 4.64% ( 0) 0-1 @ 4.11% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 2.12% ( 0)2-3 @ 1.75% ( -0)1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0)Other @ 2.5% Total : 16.71% |
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