SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a KF Ballkani win with a probability of 42.3%. A win for BATE Borisov had a probability of 32.4% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a KF Ballkani win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7%). The likeliest BATE Borisov win was 1-0 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.96%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| BATE Borisov | Draw | KF Ballkani |
32.4% ( 0.03) | 25.3% ( -0.02) | 42.3% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 55.79% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.18% ( 0.07) | 47.82% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30% ( 0.07) | 70% ( -0.07) |
| BATE Borisov Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.01% ( 0.06) | 27.99% ( -0.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 36.36% ( 0.07) | 63.64% ( -0.07) |
| KF Ballkani Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.47% ( 0.03) | 22.53% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 43.9% ( 0.04) | 56.1% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
| BATE Borisov | Draw | KF Ballkani |
| 1-0 @ 8.03% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 5.11% ( 0)3-1 @ 3.23% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)3-0 @ 2.17% ( 0)4-1 @ 1.03% ( 0)Other @ 2.8% Total : 32.4% | 1-1 @ 11.96% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 6.31% ( -0.02)2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.01)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0)Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.92% ( -0)0-2 @ 7% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 4.43% ( 0)0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0)2-3 @ 2.82% ( 0.01)1-4 @ 1.65% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.3% 2-4 @ 1.05% ( 0)Other @ 2.25% Total : 42.3% |
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